THE INAUGURAL ADDRESS WE’LL NEVER HEAR
I don’t know who’ll win the 2008 presidential election. But I hope an inaugural address that looks back on 2006 will go something like this:
“My fellow Americans, petroleum prices are at record
highs. So are oil company profits. Americans are fed up with the high cost of
gasoline and are demanding that
“Some of you think you’ve got a right to cheap gas. I’ve checked the Constitution: You don’t. I think the Supreme Court would
agree. Even the justices my party didn’t
appoint will tell you: There is no right
in
“It’s true that more products, including gasoline, are
available in
“Some of you think that corporations are bad, oil corporations are worse, and oil corporations that make profits are the worst of all. Sure, the oil business has its shady side. Most of the oil in the world is owned by governments, many of which are non-democratic and corrupt. As long as that’s true, the oil industry will never be like cars or computers.
“But markets don’t have to be perfect. They just have to better than anything
else. High profits on gasoline, or on
any commodity, are a social good. They
stimulate investment. They’re a signal
to entrepreneurs: Money to be made
here! After all, raw petroleum doesn’t
just jump out of the ground, turn itself into fuel and jump into your gas
tank. It gets there through the
coordinated actions of millions of people, using information provided by the
price system. Corporate profits are a
part of that; they help make personal transporation a reality. What should
“Maybe you don’t buy this line of argument. Maybe you think high profits are wrong in principle. In that case, let’s look at how high oil profits actually are.
“In the fall of 2005, Exxon had a record quarter: 10.3
billion dollars, up almost 25% from last year.
But their net sales were even larger; Exxon’s profit margin was
11%. Pretty good, but hardly
extortionist: Intel, Citigroup and Apple
all do better. In fact, that same
year,Yahoo’s profit margin was almost four times Exxon’s. What should
“Of course, doing nothing about profits or prices doesn’t mean we don’t have work to do. For far too long, we have subsidized oil and other fossil fuels. This will stop with my administration. We also subsidize ethanol, wind and solar. That’s not right. The right amount of subsidy for any type of energy is nothing. Nothing at all.
“But no matter what we do with subsidies, gasoline prices
are sure to go even higher. That will be
a great thing for
“Two hundred years ago, oil in the ground was worthless. Two hundred years from now, it will be worthless. It’ll be too costly to extract, too smelly compared to the alternatives, and just plain uneconomical. It’s inevitable. The only question is how we’ll get there.
“We can get there on a tough but honest road, with imperfect but working markets, a level playing field for energy, and yes, market prices for gas. Or we can be seduced by the false hopes of politics: Passing laws against crimes we can’t define, empty pontification, and wishful thinking. If we follow that path, our energy future is a future of nothing. Nothing at all. Thank you.”
Boy, I’d love to hear a message like that. But right now, it’s just a pipe dream. It’s really nothing. Nothing at all.